Conil vs Tomares: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 15Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Jose António Pérez Ureba, Conil de la Frontera
The Footlab AI model makes Conil the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Tomares. The most likely score is 1-1. If Conil wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Conil vs Tomares?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Conil (1,719) and Tomares (1,742).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Conil vs Tomares
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Conil
Not enough data to predict the Conil lineup.
Tomares
Not enough data to predict the Tomares lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conil have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Tomares have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ceuta II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Córdoba II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 1-2 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Linense(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cádiz II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sevilla III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Portuense(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ceuta II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Córdoba II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Linense(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Conil wins, 1 draw, 1 Tomares win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Tomares 1-2 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Conil 2-0 Tomares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Conil 0-0 Tomares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Tomares 1-0 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Conil 2-1 Tomares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Tomares 0-1 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
How many goals should we expect?
Conil score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tomares score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conil | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Tomares | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Conil sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (6 points from 6 matches) and Tomares sit 5th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tomares | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 14 | Conil | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
A question about Conil vs Tomares?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Conil vs Tomares?
- The Footlab AI model makes Conil the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Tomares.
- Where and when is Conil vs Tomares played?
- Conil vs Tomares is played on December 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Jose António Pérez Ureba, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.