Match

Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu: prediction and stats

J2 LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Daiwa House Premist Dome, Sapporo

Consadole SapporoSagan Tosu

The Footlab AI model makes Consadole Sapporo the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Sagan Tosu. The most likely score is 1-1. If Consadole Sapporo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,916 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Consadole Sapporo (1,866) and Sagan Tosu (1,857).

42%31%27%
Consadole Sapporo winDrawSagan Tosu win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Consadole Sapporo

4-3-3
  1. 23S. Omori
  2. 38S. Toyama
  3. 20A. Bakayoko
  1. 39Hayato Kawahara
  2. 18S. Kido
  3. 7S. Sarachat
  1. 47S. Nishino
  2. 17M. Uchida
  3. 55R. Umetsu
  4. 50N. Urakami
  1. 24T. Tagawa

Sagan Tosu

4-3-3
  1. 9T. Takahashi
  2. 11R. Shiohama
  3. 15N. Sakai
  1. 16K. Nishizawa
  2. 7K. Sakamoto
  3. 24K. Yamauchi
  1. 44K. Abe
  2. 28M. Yoshida
  3. 26T. Ando
  4. 5S. Nagasawa
  1. 12S. Matsubara

Computed on November 8, 2026 at 07:20 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Consadole Sapporo have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Sagan Tosu have 6, 0 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Consadole Sapporo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Vanraure Hachinohe(away)1-0J2 League
Nov 3, 2026Imabari(away)4-0J2 League
Oct 31, 2026Shonan Bellmare(home)1-0J2 League
Oct 25, 2026Kataller Toyama(away)1-0J2 League
Oct 21, 2026Montedio Yamagata(away)2-0J2 League
Sagan Tosu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Kataller Toyama(home)1-2J2 League
Nov 3, 2026Shonan Bellmare(away)1-0J2 League
Oct 31, 2026Jubilo Iwata(away)0-2J2 League
Oct 28, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)0-2J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026Vanraure Hachinohe(home)2-0J2 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Consadole Sapporo wins, 2 draws, 2 Sagan Tosu wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 2, 2025Consadole Sapporo 1-0 Sagan TosuJ2 League
May 25, 2025Sagan Tosu 2-1 Consadole SapporoJ2 League
Aug 16, 2024Consadole Sapporo 5-3 Sagan TosuJ1 League
Mar 2, 2024Sagan Tosu 4-0 Consadole SapporoJ1 League
Aug 12, 2023Consadole Sapporo 1-1 Sagan TosuJ1 League
Jun 10, 2023Sagan Tosu 1-1 Consadole SapporoJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu on Aug 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Consadole Sapporo score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sagan Tosu score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Consadole Sapporo1.31.077/156/15
Sagan Tosu0.91.336/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Consadole Sapporo sit 7th in J2 League (26 points from 16 matches) and Sagan Tosu sit 13th (20 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Consadole Sapporo16826221926
13Sagan Tosu16628161920

A question about Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?
The Footlab AI model makes Consadole Sapporo the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Sagan Tosu.
Where and when is Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu played?
Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Daiwa House Premist Dome, in the J2 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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