Coquimbo Unido vs U. Catolica: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 19Kick-off on August 16, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo
The Footlab model makes Coquimbo Unido the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for U. Catolica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 16, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coquimbo Unido vs U. Catolica?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Coquimbo Unido (1,914) and U. Catolica (1,935).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coquimbo Unido have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; U. Catolica have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Platense(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | D. La Serena(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(home) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Palestino(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(away) | 1-1 | Copa Chile |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cobresal(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Concepción(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | D. La Serena(home) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(home) | 2-1 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Coquimbo Unido win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 U. Catolica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | U. Catolica 3-1 Coquimbo Unido | Primera División |
| Jan 25, 2026 | U. Catolica 0-0 Coquimbo Unido | Super Cup |
| Jul 27, 2025 | U. Catolica 0-3 Coquimbo Unido | Primera División |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Coquimbo Unido 1-0 U. Catolica | Primera División |
| Nov 9, 2024 | U. Catolica 1-2 Coquimbo Unido | Primera División |
| Jun 3, 2024 | Coquimbo Unido 2-0 U. Catolica | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: U. Catolica vs Coquimbo Unido on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Coquimbo Unido score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; U. Catolica score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coquimbo Unido | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| U. Catolica | 2.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coquimbo Unido sit 4th in Primera División (24 points from 15 matches) and U. Catolica sit 2nd (26 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | U. Catolica | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 20 | 26 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 30 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 24 |
| 7 | Coquimbo Unido | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coquimbo Unido vs U. Catolica?
- The Footlab model makes Coquimbo Unido the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for U. Catolica.
- Where and when is Coquimbo Unido vs U. Catolica played?
- Coquimbo Unido vs U. Catolica is played on August 16, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bicentenario Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.