Corona Braşov vs Tricolorul Breaza: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 2Group 2 - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Tineretului, Braşov
The Footlab model makes Corona Braşov the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Tricolorul Breaza. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Corona Braşov vs Tricolorul Breaza?
Corona Braşov starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,479 vs 1,374).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Corona Braşov have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Tricolorul Breaza have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Tunari(home) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Olimpic Zărneşti(home) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Săcele(home) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | ARO Muscelul Câmpulung(home) | 1-1 | Cupa României |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Csikszereda(away) | 1-1 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Agricola Borcea(away) | 0-6 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 1, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Corona Braşov score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tricolorul Breaza score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corona Braşov | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tricolorul Breaza | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Corona Braşov vs Tricolorul Breaza?
- The Footlab model makes Corona Braşov the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Tricolorul Breaza.
- Where and when is Corona Braşov vs Tricolorul Breaza played?
- Corona Braşov vs Tricolorul Breaza is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Tineretului, in the Liga III - Serie 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.