Courtételle vs Thun II: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 2Group 2 - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Centre Sportif, Courtételle
The Footlab model makes Courtételle the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Thun II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Courtételle vs Thun II?
Courtételle starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,789 vs 1,587).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Courtételle have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Thun II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Black Stars(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Basel 1893(home) | 1-6 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Wohlen(home) | 0-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Play-offs |
| Jun 3, 2026 | YF Juventus(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Concordia Basel(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Delémont(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Langenthal(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 |
| May 24, 2025 | Courtételle(home) | 3-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 |
| May 17, 2025 | Muttenz(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Courtételle win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Thun II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | Thun II 3-2 Courtételle | 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Courtételle 0-0 Thun II | 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Courtételle 3-1 Thun II | 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Thun II 2-5 Courtételle | 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Thun II vs Courtételle on May 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Courtételle score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Thun II score 1.6 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtételle | 1.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Thun II | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Courtételle sit 9th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 (4 points from 2 matches) and Thun II sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Courtételle | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Thun II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Courtételle vs Thun II?
- The Footlab model makes Courtételle the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Thun II.
- Where and when is Courtételle vs Thun II played?
- Courtételle vs Thun II is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Centre Sportif, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.