Creteil vs Bastia-Borgo: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 14Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Dominique Duvauchelle, Créteil
The Footlab AI model makes Creteil the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Bastia-Borgo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Creteil wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Creteil vs Bastia-Borgo?
On Elo ratings, Creteil has 1,837 points and Bastia-Borgo 1,762.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Creteil vs Bastia-Borgo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Creteil
Not enough data to predict the Creteil lineup.
Bastia-Borgo
Not enough data to predict the Bastia-Borgo lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Creteil have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Bastia-Borgo have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Furiani-Agliani(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Epinal(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chantilly(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Montlouis(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dieppe(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Colmar(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | St Maur Lusitanos(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Haguenau(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Racing Colombes 92(home) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Chambly Thelle FC(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Creteil win, 2 draws, 2 Bastia-Borgo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | Bastia-Borgo 2-0 Creteil | Ligue 3 |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Creteil 3-0 Bastia-Borgo | Ligue 3 |
| May 15, 2021 | Bastia-Borgo 3-0 Creteil | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 21, 2020 | Creteil 0-0 Bastia-Borgo | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 2, 2019 | Creteil 0-0 Bastia-Borgo | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Bastia-Borgo vs Creteil on Apr 29, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Creteil score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bastia-Borgo score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creteil | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Bastia-Borgo | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Creteil sit 3rd in National 2 - Group A (14 points from 7 matches) and Bastia-Borgo sit 10th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Creteil | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Bastia-Borgo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Creteil vs Bastia-Borgo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Creteil vs Bastia-Borgo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Creteil the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Bastia-Borgo.
- Where and when is Creteil vs Bastia-Borgo played?
- Creteil vs Bastia-Borgo is played on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Dominique Duvauchelle, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.