Creteil vs Le Pays du Valois: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 25Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Dominique Duvauchelle, Créteil
The Footlab model makes Creteil the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Le Pays du Valois. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Creteil vs Le Pays du Valois?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Creteil (1,773) and Le Pays du Valois (1,675).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Creteil have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Le Pays du Valois have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Colmar(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Angers(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Limonest(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 1, 2026 | Istres(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Racing Colombes 92(home) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Reims II(home) | 3-2 | National 3 - Group E |
| May 9, 2026 | Amiens SC II(away) | 5-0 | National 3 - Group E |
| Apr 25, 2026 | OCPAM(home) | 0-1 | National 3 - Group E |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Balagne(away) | 1-3 | National 3 - Group E |
How many goals should we expect?
Creteil score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Le Pays du Valois score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creteil | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Le Pays du Valois | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Creteil sit 2nd in National 2 - Group A (3 points from 1 matches) and Le Pays du Valois sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Creteil | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Le Pays du Valois | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Creteil vs Le Pays du Valois?
- The Footlab model makes Creteil the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Le Pays du Valois.
- Where and when is Creteil vs Le Pays du Valois played?
- Creteil vs Le Pays du Valois is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Dominique Duvauchelle, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.