Creteil vs St Maur Lusitanos: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 29Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Dominique Duvauchelle, Créteil
The Footlab model makes St Maur Lusitanos the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Creteil. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Creteil vs St Maur Lusitanos?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Creteil (1,773) and St Maur Lusitanos (1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Creteil have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; St Maur Lusitanos have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Colmar(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Angers(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Limonest(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 1, 2026 | Istres(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Biesheim(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Hyères(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Saint-Priest(away) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Creteil win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 St Maur Lusitanos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | St Maur Lusitanos 2-1 Creteil | National 2 - Group C |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Creteil 0-3 St Maur Lusitanos | National 2 - Group C |
| Mar 4, 2023 | St Maur Lusitanos 1-1 Creteil | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Creteil 1-0 St Maur Lusitanos | National 2 - Group B |
| Feb 6, 2021 | Creteil 4-2 St Maur Lusitanos | Coupe de France |
| May 18, 2019 | Creteil 1-1 St Maur Lusitanos | National 2 - Group D |
Last archived meeting: St Maur Lusitanos vs Creteil on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Creteil score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; St Maur Lusitanos score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creteil | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| St Maur Lusitanos | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Creteil sit 2nd in National 2 - Group A (3 points from 1 matches) and St Maur Lusitanos sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Creteil | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | St Maur Lusitanos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Creteil vs St Maur Lusitanos?
- The Footlab model makes St Maur Lusitanos the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Creteil.
- Where and when is Creteil vs St Maur Lusitanos played?
- Creteil vs St Maur Lusitanos is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Dominique Duvauchelle, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.