Crewe vs Carlisle: result 4-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 1, 2020 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
Full time
What was the result of Crewe vs Carlisle?
Crewe won 4-1 on January 1, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 17′C. AinleyCrewe
- 26′D. PowellCrewe
- 31′D. PowellCrewe
- 34′Chuma Emeka Uche AneneCrewe
- 56′J. IredaleCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crewe have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Carlisle have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Salford City(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Stevenage(away) | 5-1 | League Two |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Mansfield Town(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Dec 10, 2019 | Eastleigh(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | Walsall(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Colchester(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Grimsby(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Dec 10, 2019 | Forest Green(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Crewe win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Carlisle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2019 | Carlisle 2-4 Crewe | League Two |
| Feb 12, 2019 | Crewe 2-1 Carlisle | League Two |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Crewe 0-1 Carlisle | FA Cup |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Carlisle 1-0 Crewe | League Two |
| Jan 13, 2018 | Carlisle 1-0 Crewe | League Two |
| Sep 23, 2017 | Crewe 0-5 Carlisle | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Crewe score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy