Crewe vs Carlisle: result 1-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 26, 2016 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
Full time
What was the result of Crewe vs Carlisle?
Crewe and Carlisle drew 1-1 on December 26, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 35′S. MillerCarlisle
- 45′George Iain CooperCrewe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crewe have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Carlisle have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2016 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Dec 10, 2016 | Crawley Town(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Colchester(away) | 0-4 | League Two |
| Nov 22, 2016 | Morecambe(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Nov 19, 2016 | Barnet(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2016 | Yeovil Town(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Dec 10, 2016 | Luton(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Dec 6, 2016 | Mansfield Town(home) | 2-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Dec 3, 2016 | Rochdale(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Mansfield Town(home) | 5-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Crewe win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Carlisle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2014 | Crewe 2-1 Carlisle | League One |
| Nov 26, 2013 | Carlisle 2-1 Crewe | League One |
| Jan 1, 2013 | Crewe 1-0 Carlisle | League One |
| Sep 18, 2012 | Carlisle 0-0 Crewe | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Crewe score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 2.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Carlisle | 2.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy