Croatia vs Denmark: result 1-1 and analysis
World Cup8th FinalsKick-off on July 1, 2018 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nizhny Novgorod, Nizhniy Novgorod
Full time
What was the result of Croatia vs Denmark?
Croatia and Denmark drew 1-1 on July 1, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 1′M. JørgensenDenmark
- 4′M. MandžukićCroatia
- 120′S. KjærDenmark (pen.)
- 120′A. KramarićCroatia (pen.)
- 120′M. Krohn-DehliDenmark (pen.)
- 120′L. ModrićCroatia (pen.)
- 120′I. RakitićCroatia (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Denmark have 8, 7 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2018 | Iceland(away) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2018 | Argentina(away) | 3-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 16, 2018 | Nigeria(home) | 2-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 8, 2018 | Senegal(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2018 | Brazil(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2018 | France(home) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2018 | Australia(home) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 16, 2018 | Peru(away) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 9, 2018 | Mexico(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2018 | Sweden(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Denmark score 1.6 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Denmark | 1.6 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Croatia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy