Croatia vs Mexico: result 1-3 and analysis
World CupGroup stage - 3Kick-off on June 23, 2014 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan (Ar-Rayyan)
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What was the result of Croatia vs Mexico?
Mexico won 1-3 on June 23, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 72′Rafael Márquez ÁlvarezMexico
- 75′A. GuardadoMexico
- 82′J. HernándezMexico
- 87′I. PerišićCroatia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Mexico have 5, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2014 | Cameroon(away) | 4-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 12, 2014 | Brazil(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 18, 2012 | Spain(home) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 14, 2012 | Italy(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 10, 2012 | Rep. Of Ireland(away) | 3-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2014 | Brazil(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 13, 2014 | Cameroon(home) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Nov 20, 2013 | New Zealand(away) | 4-2 | World Cup - Qualification Intercontinental Play-offs |
| Nov 13, 2013 | New Zealand(home) | 5-1 | World Cup - Qualification Intercontinental Play-offs |
| Jun 22, 2013 | Japan(away) | 2-1 | Confederations Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 9; Mexico score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.6 | 0.9 | 3 | 5/9 | 4/9 |
| Mexico | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/11 | 5/11 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Croatia sit 4th in World Cup (0 points from 1 matches) and Mexico sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Croatia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy