Croatia vs Poland: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 2Kick-off on September 8, 2024 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Opus Arena, Osijek
Full time
What was the result of Croatia vs Poland?
Croatia won 1-0 on September 8, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 52′L. ModrićCroatia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Poland have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2024 | Portugal(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 24, 2024 | Italy(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Albania(home) | 2-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Spain(away) | 0-3 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Portugal(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2024 | Scotland(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 25, 2024 | France(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 21, 2024 | Austria(home) | 1-3 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Netherlands(home) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 10, 2024 | Türkiye(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Croatia win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Poland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2008 | Poland 0-1 Croatia | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Poland score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Poland | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy