Croatia vs Spain: result 3-2 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 5Kick-off on November 15, 2018 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan (Ar-Rayyan)
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What was the result of Croatia vs Spain?
Croatia won 3-2 on November 15, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 54′A. KramarićCroatia
- 56′Dani CeballosSpain
- 69′T. JedvajCroatia
- 78′Sergio RamosSpain (pen.)
- 90′T. JedvajCroatia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Spain have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2018 | Jordan(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2018 | England(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Spain(away) | 0-6 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2018 | Portugal(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jul 15, 2018 | France(away) | 2-4 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2018 | England(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2018 | Wales(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Croatia(home) | 6-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2018 | England(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 1, 2018 | Russia(home) | 1-1 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Croatia win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Spain win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2018 | Spain 6-0 Croatia | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 21, 2016 | Croatia 2-1 Spain | Euro Championship |
| Jun 18, 2012 | Croatia 0-1 Spain | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Spain score 2.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Spain | 2.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy