Croatia vs Spain: result 0-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipGroup stage - 3Kick-off on June 18, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan (Ar-Rayyan)
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What was the result of Croatia vs Spain?
Spain won 0-1 on June 18, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 88′Jesús NavasSpain
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Spain have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2012 | Italy(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 10, 2012 | Rep. Of Ireland(away) | 3-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 20, 2008 | Türkiye(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 16, 2008 | Poland(away) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 12, 2008 | Germany(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2012 | Rep. Of Ireland(home) | 4-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 10, 2012 | Italy(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jul 11, 2010 | Netherlands(away) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Jul 7, 2010 | Germany(away) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Jul 3, 2010 | Paraguay(away) | 1-0 | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 6; Spain score 1.7 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.5 | 0.7 | 2 | 4/6 | 2/6 |
| Spain | 1.7 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Croatia sit 3rd in Euro Championship (2 points from 3 matches) and Spain sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy