Match

Crotone vs Audace Cerignola: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone

CrotoneAudace Cerignola

The Footlab AI model makes Audace Cerignola the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Crotone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Audace Cerignola wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Crotone vs Audace Cerignola?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Crotone (1,812) and Audace Cerignola (1,827).

32%28%40%
Crotone winDrawAudace Cerignola win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Crotone vs Audace Cerignola

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Crotone

4-2-3-1
  1. 96M. Zunno
  1. 99F. Crapisto
  2. 80Filippo Grosso
  3. 31P. Rodriguez
  4. 5L. Russo
  5. 8I. Torres
  1. 13N. Armini
  2. 26G. Tanco
  3. 63A. Veltri
  4. 23F. Groppelli
  1. 1D. Merelli

Audace Cerignola

4-3-3
  1. 9D. Gambale
  2. 33M. Perlingieri
  3. 7A. Vinciguerra
  1. 58C. Cretella
  2. 4G. Vitale
  3. 68M. Sellaf
  1. 23A. Gasbarro
  2. 55M. Cocorocchio
  3. 27A. Boccadamo
  4. 44K. Miranda
  1. 22A. Viola

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:38 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crotone have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Audace Cerignola have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Crotone
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Catania(away)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026Salernitana(home)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026SS Monopoli(away)2-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Inter U23(home)0-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 12, 2026Savoia(away)1-1Serie C - Girone C
Audace Cerignola
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Team Altamura(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026AZ Picerno(away)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Casertana(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Casarano(away)0-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 11, 2026Giugliano(home)4-0Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Crotone wins, 2 draws, 2 Audace Cerignola wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Crotone 1-1 Audace CerignolaSerie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Mar 29, 2026Crotone 3-1 Audace CerignolaSerie C - Girone C
Nov 21, 2025Audace Cerignola 2-0 CrotoneSerie C - Girone C
Mar 16, 2025Crotone 2-1 Audace CerignolaSerie C - Girone C
Nov 3, 2024Audace Cerignola 1-1 CrotoneSerie C - Girone C
Jan 27, 2024Audace Cerignola 4-2 CrotoneSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Crotone vs Audace Cerignola on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Crotone score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Audace Cerignola score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Crotone1.11.519/156/15
Audace Cerignola1.31.3410/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Crotone sit 20th in Serie C - Girone C (0 points from 8 matches) and Audace Cerignola sit 9th (11 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Audace Cerignola832311711
20Crotone81348120

A question about Crotone vs Audace Cerignola?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Crotone vs Audace Cerignola?
The Footlab AI model makes Audace Cerignola the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Crotone.
Where and when is Crotone vs Audace Cerignola played?
Crotone vs Audace Cerignola is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ezio Scida, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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