Crotone vs Spezia: result 4-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 12, 2020 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone
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What was the result of Crotone vs Spezia?
Crotone won 4-1 on December 12, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 7′Junior MessiasCrotone
- 18′Diego FariasSpezia
- 49′A. RecaCrotone
- 56′Eduardo HenriqueCrotone
- 90′Junior MessiasCrotone
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crotone have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Spezia have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2020 | Napoli(home) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Bologna(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Lazio(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Torino(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Atalanta(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2020 | Lazio(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Cagliari(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Bologna(away) | 4-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Atalanta(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 7, 2020 | Benevento(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Crotone win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Spezia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2020 | Crotone 1-2 Spezia | Serie B |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Spezia 1-2 Crotone | Serie B |
| May 4, 2019 | Spezia 2-0 Crotone | Serie B |
| Dec 27, 2018 | Crotone 0-3 Spezia | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Crotone score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Spezia score 1.6 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Spezia | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy