Crusaders FC vs Portadown: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Seaview, Belfast
The Footlab model makes Crusaders FC the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Portadown. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crusaders FC vs Portadown?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Crusaders FC (1,458) and Portadown (1,449).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crusaders FC have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Portadown have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Portadown(home) | 3-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dundela(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kilbarrack United(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Crusaders FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Portadown win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crusaders FC 3-2 Portadown | Premiership |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Crusaders FC 4-0 Portadown | Premiership |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Portadown 0-0 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Crusaders FC 0-4 Portadown | Premiership |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Portadown 2-1 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Crusaders FC 3-2 Portadown | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Crusaders FC vs Portadown on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crusaders FC score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Portadown score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crusaders FC | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Portadown | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crusaders FC sit 4th in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Portadown sit 10th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Crusaders FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Portadown | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crusaders FC vs Portadown?
- The Footlab model makes Crusaders FC the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Portadown.
- Where and when is Crusaders FC vs Portadown played?
- Crusaders FC vs Portadown is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Seaview, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.