CS Afumati vs ASA Targu Mures: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Afumaţi, Afumaţi
The Footlab model makes ASA Targu Mures the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for CS Afumati. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CS Afumati vs ASA Targu Mures?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate CS Afumati (1,574) and ASA Targu Mures (1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CS Afumati have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; ASA Targu Mures have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Viitorul Şelimbăr(away) | 1-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Voluntari(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chindia Targoviste(home) | 0-3 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Metalul Buzău(away) | 1-3 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gloria Bistriţa(home) | 1-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Politehnica Timisoara(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bihor Oradea(away) | 1-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gheorgheni(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 0-2 | Liga II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 CS Afumati win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 ASA Targu Mures win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | CS Afumati 2-1 ASA Targu Mures | Liga II |
| May 5, 2018 | CS Afumati 3-0 ASA Targu Mures | Liga II |
| Oct 28, 2017 | ASA Targu Mures 0-1 CS Afumati | Liga II |
Last archived meeting: CS Afumati vs ASA Targu Mures on Nov 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
CS Afumati score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; ASA Targu Mures score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS Afumati | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| ASA Targu Mures | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CS Afumati sit 16th in Liga II (3 points from 3 matches) and ASA Targu Mures sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | ASA Targu Mures | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | CS Afumati | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CS Afumati vs ASA Targu Mures?
- The Footlab model makes ASA Targu Mures the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for CS Afumati.
- Where and when is CS Afumati vs ASA Targu Mures played?
- CS Afumati vs ASA Targu Mures is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Afumaţi, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Chindia TargovistevsViitorul Şelimbăr
- Sep 12, 2026MetaloglobusvsAFC Hermannstadt
- Sep 12, 2026FC Politehnica TimisoaravsŞtefăneşti
- Sep 12, 2026CSM ReşiţavsFC Bacau
- Sep 12, 2026Metalul BuzăuvsUnirea Slobozia
- Sep 12, 2026DumbrăviţavsSlatina
- Sep 12, 2026CS Dinamo BucureștivsConcordia
- Sep 12, 2026Bihor OradeavsCSA Steaua Bucureşti