CS Constantine vs USM Alger: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Mohamed-Hamlaoui, Constantine
The Footlab model makes CS Constantine the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for USM Alger. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CS Constantine vs USM Alger?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate CS Constantine (1,892) and USM Alger (1,914).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CS Constantine have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; USM Alger have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | JS Saoura(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 19, 2026 | Khenchela(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 7, 2026 | Paradou AC(away) | 3-5 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(home) | 2-3 | Coupe Nationale |
| Apr 16, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | MC Oran(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Ben Aknoun(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | MB Rouisset(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 25, 2026 | Khenchela(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 CS Constantine win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 USM Alger win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | USM Alger 0-0 CS Constantine | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | CS Constantine 1-1 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| May 11, 2025 | USM Alger 2-1 CS Constantine | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 9, 2025 | USM Alger 1-1 CS Constantine | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Apr 2, 2025 | CS Constantine 1-1 USM Alger | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Nov 21, 2024 | CS Constantine 1-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: USM Alger vs CS Constantine on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CS Constantine score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; USM Alger score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS Constantine | 1.3 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| USM Alger | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CS Constantine sit 9th in Ligue 1 (43 points from 30 matches) and USM Alger sit 10th (39 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | CS Constantine | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 35 | 30 | 43 |
| 10 | USM Alger | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CS Constantine vs USM Alger?
- The Footlab model makes CS Constantine the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for USM Alger.
- Where and when is CS Constantine vs USM Alger played?
- CS Constantine vs USM Alger is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Mohamed-Hamlaoui, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.