Csepel vs Szegedi VSE: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Béke téri Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Csepel the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Szegedi VSE. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Csepel vs Szegedi VSE?
Csepel starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,474 vs 1,324).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Csepel have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Szegedi VSE have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Csepel UFC(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | ESMTK(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Monori Se(away) | 0-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | III. Kerületi TUE(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jánoshalmi(away) | 5-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Monori Se(home) | 2-3 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Szeged-Csanád II(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dabas(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vasas II(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Csepel win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Szegedi VSE win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Szegedi VSE 2-3 Csepel | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Csepel 0-1 Szegedi VSE | NB III - Southeast |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Csepel 0-1 Szegedi VSE | Magyar Kupa |
Last archived meeting: Szegedi VSE vs Csepel on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Csepel score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Szegedi VSE score 1.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Csepel | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Szegedi VSE | 1.7 | 2.4 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Csepel sit 9th in NB III - Southeast (5 points from 4 matches) and Szegedi VSE sit 14th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Csepel | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Szegedi VSE | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Csepel vs Szegedi VSE?
- The Footlab model makes Csepel the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Szegedi VSE.
- Where and when is Csepel vs Szegedi VSE played?
- Csepel vs Szegedi VSE is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Béke téri Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.