CSM Targu Jiu vs Filiaşi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 6Group 6 - 2Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes CSM Targu Jiu the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Filiaşi. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSM Targu Jiu vs Filiaşi?
CSM Targu Jiu starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,473 vs 1,331).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSM Targu Jiu have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Filiaşi have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Păușești(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti(home) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Inter Sibiu(home) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | Păușești(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Oltul Curtişoara(home) | 3-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | U Craiova 1948(away) | 5-0 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Oltul Curtişoara(home) | 1-4 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 8, 2026 | Alexandria(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 1, 2026 | CSL Nanov(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
CSM Targu Jiu score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Filiaşi score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSM Targu Jiu | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Filiaşi | 1.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSM Targu Jiu | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSM Targu Jiu vs Filiaşi?
- The Footlab model makes CSM Targu Jiu the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Filiaşi.
- Where and when is CSM Targu Jiu vs Filiaşi played?
- CSM Targu Jiu vs Filiaşi is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.