Cumbernauld Colts vs Johnstone Burgh: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Broadwood Stadium, Cumbernauld
The Footlab model makes Cumbernauld Colts the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Johnstone Burgh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cumbernauld Colts vs Johnstone Burgh?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Cumbernauld Colts (1,542) and Johnstone Burgh (1,591).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cumbernauld Colts have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Johnstone Burgh have 2, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dalbeattie Star(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gretna 2008(away) | 3-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Renfrew(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pollok(away) | 1-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Albion Rovers(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Celtic II(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Troon FC(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Cumbernauld Colts score 2.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Johnstone Burgh score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumbernauld Colts | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Johnstone Burgh | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cumbernauld Colts sit 27th in Football League - Lowland League (3 points from 6 matches) and Johnstone Burgh sit 20th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Johnstone Burgh | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| 27 | Cumbernauld Colts | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cumbernauld Colts vs Johnstone Burgh?
- The Footlab model makes Cumbernauld Colts the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Johnstone Burgh.
- Where and when is Cumbernauld Colts vs Johnstone Burgh played?
- Cumbernauld Colts vs Johnstone Burgh is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Broadwood Stadium, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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