Cumbernauld Colts vs Troon FC: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Broadwood Stadium, Cumbernauld
The Footlab model makes Cumbernauld Colts the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Troon FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cumbernauld Colts vs Troon FC?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Cumbernauld Colts (1,544) and Troon FC (1,610).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cumbernauld Colts have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Troon FC have 3, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 1-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dalbeattie Star(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gretna 2008(away) | 3-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beith(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renfrew(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gretna 2008(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Cumbernauld Colts score 2.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Troon FC score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumbernauld Colts | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Troon FC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cumbernauld Colts sit 27th in Football League - Lowland League (3 points from 6 matches) and Troon FC sit 13th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Troon FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 27 | Cumbernauld Colts | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cumbernauld Colts vs Troon FC?
- The Footlab model makes Cumbernauld Colts the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Troon FC.
- Where and when is Cumbernauld Colts vs Troon FC played?
- Cumbernauld Colts vs Troon FC is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Broadwood Stadium, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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