Cumnock Juniors vs Dalbeattie Star: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 9, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Townhead Park, Cumnock
The Footlab model makes Cumnock Juniors the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Dalbeattie Star. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cumnock Juniors vs Dalbeattie Star?
Cumnock Juniors is a heavy favourite: 1,587 Elo points against 1,259 — a 328-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cumnock Juniors have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Dalbeattie Star have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Celtic II(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Largs Thistle(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caledonian Braves(away) | 3-6 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Beith(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Albion Rovers(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Celtic II(home) | 1-5 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Largs Thistle(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pollok(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(away) | 0-6 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Cumnock Juniors score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dalbeattie Star score 0.9 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumnock Juniors | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Dalbeattie Star | 0.9 | 3.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cumnock Juniors sit 21st in Football League - Lowland League (5 points from 5 matches) and Dalbeattie Star sit 31st (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Cumnock Juniors | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 5 |
| 31 | Dalbeattie Star | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cumnock Juniors vs Dalbeattie Star?
- The Footlab model makes Cumnock Juniors the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Dalbeattie Star.
- Where and when is Cumnock Juniors vs Dalbeattie Star played?
- Cumnock Juniors vs Dalbeattie Star is played on December 9, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Townhead Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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