Dagon vs Thitsar Arman: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
The Footlab AI model makes Dagon the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Thitsar Arman. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dagon wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dagon vs Thitsar Arman?
Dagon starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,344 vs 1,204).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dagon vs Thitsar Arman
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dagon
Not enough data to predict the Dagon lineup.
Thitsar Arman
Not enough data to predict the Thitsar Arman lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dagon have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Thitsar Arman have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | I.S.P.E(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ayeyawady United(away) | 5-0 | National League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hantharwady United(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Yangon United(away) | 0-4 | National League |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Thitsar Arman(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ayeyawady United(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Hantharwady United(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Myawady(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Yarmanya United(away) | 5-0 | National League |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Dagon(home) | 2-2 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Dagon wins, 1 draw, 0 Thitsar Arman wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | Thitsar Arman 2-2 Dagon | National League |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Dagon 2-0 Thitsar Arman | National League |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Thitsar Arman 1-2 Dagon | National League |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Dagon 3-1 Thitsar Arman | National League |
Last archived meeting: Thitsar Arman vs Dagon on Mar 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dagon score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Thitsar Arman score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dagon | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Thitsar Arman | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dagon sit 1st in National League (7 points from 3 matches) and Thitsar Arman sit 4th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Thitsar Arman | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
A question about Dagon vs Thitsar Arman?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dagon vs Thitsar Arman?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dagon the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Thitsar Arman.
- Where and when is Dagon vs Thitsar Arman played?
- Dagon vs Thitsar Arman is played on October 24, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Thuwunna Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.