Dalbeattie Star vs Gretna 2008: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Islecroft Stadium, Dalbeattie
The Footlab model makes Dalbeattie Star the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Gretna 2008. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dalbeattie Star vs Gretna 2008?
Gretna 2008 starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,370 vs 1,259).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dalbeattie Star have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Gretna 2008 have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Celtic II(home) | 1-5 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Largs Thistle(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pollok(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(away) | 0-6 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 1-7 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(home) | 3-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kilwinning Rangers(home) | 1-5 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Troon FC(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Newton Stewart(home) | 3-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Dalbeattie Star win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gretna 2008 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | Gretna 2008 1-0 Dalbeattie Star | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Dalbeattie Star 0-3 Gretna 2008 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jan 3, 2022 | Gretna 2008 2-1 Dalbeattie Star | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Dalbeattie Star 3-1 Gretna 2008 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Dec 22, 2020 | Dalbeattie Star 2-2 Gretna 2008 | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Gretna 2008 vs Dalbeattie Star on Dec 31, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Dalbeattie Star score 0.9 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gretna 2008 score 1.3 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalbeattie Star | 0.9 | 3.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Gretna 2008 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dalbeattie Star sit 31st in Football League - Lowland League (1 points from 5 matches) and Gretna 2008 sit 25th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Gretna 2008 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 4 |
| 31 | Dalbeattie Star | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dalbeattie Star vs Gretna 2008?
- The Footlab model makes Dalbeattie Star the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Gretna 2008.
- Where and when is Dalbeattie Star vs Gretna 2008 played?
- Dalbeattie Star vs Gretna 2008 is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Islecroft Stadium, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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