Dalbeattie Star vs Johnstone Burgh: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Islecroft Stadium, Dalbeattie
The Footlab model makes Johnstone Burgh the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Dalbeattie Star. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dalbeattie Star vs Johnstone Burgh?
Johnstone Burgh is a heavy favourite: 1,599 Elo points against 1,259 — a 340-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dalbeattie Star have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Johnstone Burgh have 3, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Celtic II(home) | 1-5 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Largs Thistle(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pollok(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(away) | 0-6 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Newton Stewart(home) | 3-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pollok(away) | 1-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Albion Rovers(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Celtic II(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Troon FC(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Dalbeattie Star score 0.9 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Johnstone Burgh score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalbeattie Star | 0.9 | 3.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Johnstone Burgh | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 6/9 | 6/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dalbeattie Star sit 31st in Football League - Lowland League (1 points from 5 matches) and Johnstone Burgh sit 20th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Johnstone Burgh | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| 31 | Dalbeattie Star | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dalbeattie Star vs Johnstone Burgh?
- The Footlab model makes Johnstone Burgh the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Dalbeattie Star.
- Where and when is Dalbeattie Star vs Johnstone Burgh played?
- Dalbeattie Star vs Johnstone Burgh is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Islecroft Stadium, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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