Dallas Trinity W vs Lexington W: prediction and stats
USL Super LeagueGroup StageKick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Dallas Trinity W the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Lexington W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dallas Trinity W wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,585 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dallas Trinity W vs Lexington W?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Dallas Trinity W (1,718) and Lexington W (1,799).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dallas Trinity W vs Lexington W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dallas Trinity W
4-3-3- 13C. Hintzen
- 30S. Castain
- 2O. Gamero
- 8S. Braun
- 17I. Hamid
- 6F. Knox
- 12S. Cheesman
- 4M. Brewer
- 5L. Flynn
- 32S. Cedeno
- 35N. Purcell
Lexington W
4-2-3-1- 15C. Barry
- 26K. Murray
- 18A. McCain
- 2H. White
- 23N. Vernis
- 20D. Rajaee
- 12A. Bourgeois
- 16A. Elizabeth Brown
- 22R. Steigleder
- 19H. Johnson
- 24R. Campbell
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 11:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dallas Trinity W have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Lexington W have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Fort Lauderdale United W(home) | 3-0 | USL Super League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | DC Power W(away) | 0-1 | USL Super League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brooklyn W(away) | 1-1 | USL Super League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Lexington W(away) | 0-3 | USL Super League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Fort Lauderdale United W(away) | 2-1 | USL Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Carolina Ascent W(away) | 0-1 | USL Super League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Sporting JAX W(home) | 3-3 | USL Super League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tampa Bay Sun W(home) | 2-1 | USL Super League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fort Lauderdale United W(away) | 1-2 | USL Super League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tampa Bay Sun W(away) | 1-1 | USL Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dallas Trinity W win, 2 draws, 3 Lexington W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Lexington W 3-0 Dallas Trinity W | USL Super League |
| May 23, 2026 | Lexington W 2-0 Dallas Trinity W | USL Super League |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Dallas Trinity W 2-2 Lexington W | USL Super League |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Lexington W 0-1 Dallas Trinity W | USL Super League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Dallas Trinity W 1-1 Lexington W | USL Super League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Lexington W 6-1 Dallas Trinity W | USL Super League |
Last archived meeting: Lexington W vs Dallas Trinity W on Sep 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dallas Trinity W score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lexington W score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Trinity W | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Lexington W | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dallas Trinity W sit 5th in USL Super League (14 points from 10 matches) and Lexington W sit 4th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lexington W | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 5 | Dallas Trinity W | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Dallas Trinity W vs Lexington W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dallas Trinity W vs Lexington W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dallas Trinity W the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Lexington W.
- Where and when is Dallas Trinity W vs Lexington W played?
- Dallas Trinity W vs Lexington W is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC), in the USL Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 15, 2026DC Power W0-1Carolina Ascent W
- Aug 15, 2026Lexington W3-0Brooklyn W
- Aug 15, 2026Fort Lauderdale United W0-1Sporting JAX W
- Aug 16, 2026Dallas Trinity W1-1Tampa Bay Sun W
- Aug 21, 2026Brooklyn W1-4DC Power W
- Aug 22, 2026Sporting JAX W3-2Tampa Bay Sun W
- Aug 23, 2026Dallas Trinity W1-3Carolina Ascent W
- Aug 28, 2026Fort Lauderdale United W1-0Brooklyn W