Darlington vs Hinckley United: result 1-1 and analysis
FA Cup4th Round QualifyingKick-off on October 29, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Blackwell Meadows, Darlington, Durham
Full time
What was the result of Darlington vs Hinckley United?
Darlington and Hinckley United drew 1-1 on October 29, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 5′R. BowmanDarlington
- 9′S. BelcherHinckley United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Darlington have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hinckley United have 2, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2011 | Braintree(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Oct 18, 2011 | Barrow(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Oct 11, 2011 | Stockport County(away) | 4-3 | National League |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Bath City(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2011 | Leek Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Leek Town(home) | 3-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Matlock Town(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Darlington score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hinckley United score 2.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darlington | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Hinckley United | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 3/3 | 3/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy