Match

Darnes vs Al-Akhdar: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular seasonKick-off on December 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Al-Bayda Stadium (Al-Watheeq al Khadhraa), Al Bayda'

DarnesAl-Akhdar

The Footlab AI model makes Al-Akhdar the favourite at 49%, against 31% for a draw and 20% for Darnes. The most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,881 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Darnes vs Al-Akhdar?

Al-Akhdar starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,653).

20%31%49%
Darnes winDrawAl-Akhdar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Darnes vs Al-Akhdar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Darnes

Not enough data to predict the Darnes lineup.

Al-Akhdar

4-3-3
  1. 18B. Mejri
  2. 30Ary Papel
  3. 33R. Boakye
  1. 17E. Essien
  2. 16Mohammed Alzabbad
  3. 18Suhaib Shafshuf
  1. 25Ahmed Saleh
  2. 4Suliman Qassim
  3. 27Anas Alraheem
  4. 28Mustafa Hamza
  1. 1Miftah Al Taeb

Computed on November 8, 2026 at 03:32 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Darnes have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Al-Akhdar have 8, 7 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Darnes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 29, 2026Al Ahli Benghazi(away)0-2Premier League
Oct 20, 2026Al Afriqi Derna SC(home)1-0Premier League
Oct 13, 2026Al Hilal(away)0-0Premier League
Apr 24, 2026Al-Anwar(away)1-0Premier League
Apr 19, 2026Al Sadaqa(home)1-0Premier League
Al-Akhdar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 28, 2026Al Hilal(away)1-1Premier League
Oct 21, 2026Al Sadaqa(home)2-0Premier League
Oct 14, 2026Khaleej Sart(away)0-0Premier League
May 23, 2026Al Hilal(home)2-0Premier League
May 19, 2026Al Afriqi Derna SC(away)3-2Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Darnes win, 1 draw, 4 Al-Akhdar wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 2, 2023Al-Akhdar 2-1 DarnesPremier League
Dec 16, 2022Darnes 2-1 Al-AkhdarPremier League
May 14, 2022Darnes 0-0 Al-AkhdarPremier League
Jan 18, 2022Al-Akhdar 3-0 DarnesPremier League
Jul 26, 2021Darnes 0-2 Al-AkhdarPremier League
May 22, 2021Al-Akhdar 2-0 DarnesPremier League

Last archived meeting: Al-Akhdar vs Darnes on Jun 2, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Darnes score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Akhdar score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Darnes0.81.356/156/15
Al-Akhdar1.30.587/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Darnes sit 7th in Premier League (6 points from 8 matches) and Al-Akhdar sit 2nd (13 points from 7 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Al-AkhdarGroup 474129713
7DarnesGroup 381347106

A question about Darnes vs Al-Akhdar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Darnes vs Al-Akhdar?
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Akhdar the favourite at 49%, against 31% for a draw and 20% for Darnes.
Where and when is Darnes vs Al-Akhdar played?
Darnes vs Al-Akhdar is played on December 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Bayda Stadium (Al-Watheeq al Khadhraa), in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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