Daventry Town vs Kidsgrove Athletic: result 4-3 and analysis
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on October 22, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Communications Park, Daventry, Northamptonshire
Full time
What was the result of Daventry Town vs Kidsgrove Athletic?
Daventry Town won 4-3 on October 22, 2011.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Daventry Town have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Kidsgrove Athletic have 4, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2011 | Nuneaton Town(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 11, 2011 | Stourport Swifts(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Stourport Swifts(away) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Leamington(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Huntingdon Town(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2011 | Long Buckby(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Loughborough Dynamo(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 4, 2011 | Boston United(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Boston United(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Gornal Athletic(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Daventry Town score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 5; Kidsgrove Athletic score 1.8 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daventry Town | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0 | 5/5 | 4/5 |
| Kidsgrove Athletic | 1.8 | 0.4 | 3 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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