De Graafschap U21 vs Willem II U21: prediction and stats
U21 Divisie 1Fall Season - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Bezelhorst Veld 6, Doetinchem
The Footlab AI model makes De Graafschap U21 the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Willem II U21. The most likely score is 1-1. If De Graafschap U21 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,888 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win De Graafschap U21 vs Willem II U21?
De Graafschap U21 starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,843 vs 1,740).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for De Graafschap U21 vs Willem II U21
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
De Graafschap U21
Not enough data to predict the De Graafschap U21 lineup.
Willem II U21
Not enough data to predict the Willem II U21 lineup.
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 05:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, De Graafschap U21 have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Willem II U21 have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Twente / Heracles U21(away) | 1-1 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Go Ahead Eagles U21(home) | 0-1 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Twente / Heracles U21(home) | 0-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Willem II U21(away) | 2-0 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cambuur U21(home) | 1-0 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Groningen U21(away) | 2-4 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Groningen U21(home) | 0-0 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Twente / Heracles U21(home) | 1-3 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | De Graafschap U21(home) | 0-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Feyenoord U21(home) | 2-3 | U21 Divisie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 De Graafschap U21 wins, 1 draw, 1 Willem II U21 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Willem II U21 0-2 De Graafschap U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Willem II U21 2-1 De Graafschap U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Feb 7, 2026 | De Graafschap U21 4-1 Willem II U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Willem II U21 1-1 De Graafschap U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | De Graafschap U21 2-0 Willem II U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Nov 5, 2022 | De Graafschap U21 1-0 Willem II U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
Last archived meeting: Willem II U21 vs De Graafschap U21 on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
De Graafschap U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Willem II U21 score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Graafschap U21 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Willem II U21 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
De Graafschap U21 sit 3rd in U21 Divisie 1 (9 points from 6 matches) and Willem II U21 sit 8th (1 point from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | De Graafschap U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 8 | Willem II U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 1 |
A question about De Graafschap U21 vs Willem II U21?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for De Graafschap U21 vs Willem II U21?
- The Footlab AI model makes De Graafschap U21 the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Willem II U21.
- Where and when is De Graafschap U21 vs Willem II U21 played?
- De Graafschap U21 vs Willem II U21 is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Bezelhorst Veld 6, in the U21 Divisie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.