Dender vs Lokeren-Temse: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)DENDER Football Complex, Denderleeuw
The Footlab model makes Lokeren-Temse the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Dender. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dender vs Lokeren-Temse?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Dender (1,779) and Lokeren-Temse (1,859).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dender have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Lokeren-Temse have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beerschot VA(home) | 2-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Seraing United(away) | 2-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | UMM Salal(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dender(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dender win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lokeren-Temse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse 3-0 Dender | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2021 | Lokeren-Temse 2-2 Dender | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Lokeren-Temse vs Dender on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dender score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lokeren-Temse score 2.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dender | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Lokeren-Temse | 2.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dender sit 7th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and Lokeren-Temse sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lokeren-Temse | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Dender | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dender vs Lokeren-Temse?
- The Footlab model makes Lokeren-Temse the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Dender.
- Where and when is Dender vs Lokeren-Temse played?
- Dender vs Lokeren-Temse is played on January 23, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at DENDER Football Complex, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.