Denmark vs Kazakhstan: result 4-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification Europe1st Round - 4Kick-off on November 11, 2016 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Nature Energy Park, Odense
Full time
What was the result of Denmark vs Kazakhstan?
Denmark won 4-1 on November 11, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 15′A. CorneliusDenmark
- 17′G. SuyumbayevKazakhstan
- 36′C. EriksenDenmark (pen.)
- 78′P. AnkersenDenmark
- 90′C. EriksenDenmark
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Denmark have 3 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Kazakhstan have 0, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2016 | Montenegro(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Poland(away) | 2-3 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Armenia(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 17, 2012 | Germany(home) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 13, 2012 | Portugal(home) | 2-3 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2016 | Romania(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Montenegro(away) | 0-5 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Poland(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Denmark score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 9; Kazakhstan score 0.7 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denmark | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/9 | 5/9 |
| Kazakhstan | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1 | 1/3 | 2/3 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Denmark sit 2nd in World Cup - Qualification Europe (11 points from 6 matches) and Kazakhstan sit 4th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy