Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera AApertura - Semi-finalsKick-off on May 16, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué
Full time
What was the result of Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional?
Atletico Nacional won 0-1 on May 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 57′A. MorelosAtletico Nacional
Official lineup for Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Deportes Tolima
4-2-3-1- 9L. Sandoval
- 18K. Flórez
- 10J. Torres
- 24A. Parra
- 80B. Rovira
- 32S. Guzmán
- 17C. Arrieta
- 2A. Angulo
- 3J. Angulo
- 28E. López
- 1Neto Volpi
Atletico Nacional
4-2-3-1- 9A. Morelos
- 13N. Rodríguez
- 19J. Rengifo
- 18E. Bello
- 21J. Campuzano
- 8M. Uribe
- 4C. Haydar
- 16W. Tesillo
- 28S. Garcia
- 6A. Román
- 1D. Ospina
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Tolima have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Atletico Nacional have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| May 9, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| May 7, 2026 | Club Nacional(home) | 3-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 3-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 7-1 | Primera A |
| May 9, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(away) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| May 1, 2026 | Once Caldas(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Bucaramanga(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportes Tolima wins, 2 draws, 2 Atletico Nacional wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | Deportes Tolima 1-0 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Deportes Tolima 0-0 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Atletico Nacional 4-3 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Atletico Nacional 2-0 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Deportes Tolima 1-1 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Deportes Tolima 1-0 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional on Mar 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportes Tolima score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Nacional score 1.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Atletico Nacional | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportes Tolima sit 9th in Primera A (27 points from 19 matches) and Atletico Nacional sit 1st (40 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 18 | 40 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 27 |
A question about Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy