Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera AApertura - Semi-finalsKick-off on May 16, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué
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What was the result of Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional?
Atletico Nacional won 0-1 on May 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 57′A. MorelosAtletico Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Tolima have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Atletico Nacional have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| May 9, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| May 7, 2026 | Club Nacional(home) | 3-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 3-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 7-1 | Primera A |
| May 9, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(away) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| May 1, 2026 | Once Caldas(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Bucaramanga(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportes Tolima win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Atletico Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | Deportes Tolima 1-0 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Deportes Tolima 0-0 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Atletico Nacional 4-3 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Atletico Nacional 2-0 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Deportes Tolima 1-1 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Deportes Tolima 1-0 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional on Mar 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportes Tolima score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Nacional score 1.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Atletico Nacional | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportes Tolima sit 6th in Primera A (31 points from 19 matches) and Atletico Nacional sit 1st (40 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 40 |
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 31 |
| 15 | Atletico Nacional | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy