Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin: result 1-3 and analysis
Primera AApertura - Quadrangular - 2Kick-off on June 4, 2025 at 11:10 PM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué
Full time
What was the result of Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin?
Independiente Medellin won 1-3 on June 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 15′J. QuiñónesDeportes Tolima
- 34′F. FydriszewskiIndependiente Medellin
- 48′L. BerríoIndependiente Medellin
- 73′B. LeónIndependiente Medellin
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Tolima have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Independiente Medellin have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2025 | Junior(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| May 25, 2025 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| May 19, 2025 | Llaneros(away) | 3-1 | Primera A |
| May 16, 2025 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| May 9, 2025 | Union Magdalena(home) | 3-1 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2025 | America de Cali(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| May 25, 2025 | America de Cali(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| May 20, 2025 | Deportivo Pereira(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| May 16, 2025 | Deportes Tolima(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| May 10, 2025 | Bucaramanga(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportes Tolima win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Independiente Medellin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2025 | Independiente Medellin 0-1 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Independiente Medellin 0-1 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Deportes Tolima 2-2 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Deportes Tolima 0-0 Independiente Medellin | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 14, 2023 | Deportes Tolima 1-1 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Independiente Medellin 1-1 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima on May 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Deportes Tolima score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente Medellin score 0.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Independiente Medellin | 0.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportes Tolima sit 6th in Primera A (31 points from 19 matches) and Independiente Medellin sit 11th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 37 |
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 31 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy