Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin: result 1-2 and analysis
Primera AApertura - 15Kick-off on April 29, 2016 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué
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What was the result of Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin?
Independiente Medellin won 1-2 on April 29, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 4′L. CastroIndependiente Medellin (pen.)
- 24′L. CastroIndependiente Medellin
- 68′Zamir Valoyes NaboyánDeportes Tolima
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Deportes Tolima have 6 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Independiente Medellin have 6, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2016 | Huila(away) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Apr 17, 2016 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Apr 9, 2016 | Cortulua(away) | 1-3 | Primera A |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Envigado(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Mar 21, 2016 | Huila(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2016 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Jaguares(away) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Apr 9, 2016 | Alianza Valledupar(home) | 4-2 | Primera A |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Mar 20, 2016 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
How many goals should we expect?
Deportes Tolima score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 14; Independiente Medellin score 1.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/14 | 10/14 |
| Independiente Medellin | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/14 | 6/14 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportes Tolima sit 6th in Primera A (31 points from 19 matches) and Independiente Medellin sit 11th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 37 |
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 31 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy