Deportivo Ayense vs Gorilas de Juanacatlan: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie BApertura - 11Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Chino Rivas, Ayotlán
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Ayense the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Gorilas de Juanacatlan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Ayense vs Gorilas de Juanacatlan?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Deportivo Ayense (1,907) and Gorilas de Juanacatlan (1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Ayense have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gorilas de Juanacatlan have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | FC Racing(away) | 2-2 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 26, 2026 | FC Racing(home) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 15, 2026 | FC Racing(home) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Huracanes Izcalli(home) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(away) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(home) | 1-3 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Acambaro(home) | 4-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Acambaro(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Acambaro(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Deportivo Ayense win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gorilas de Juanacatlan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan 0-0 Deportivo Ayense | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Deportivo Ayense 1-2 Gorilas de Juanacatlan | Liga Premier Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Gorilas de Juanacatlan vs Deportivo Ayense on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Ayense score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gorilas de Juanacatlan score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Ayense | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gorilas de Juanacatlan | 1.4 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Ayense sit 6th in Liga Premier Serie B (28 points from 17 matches) and Gorilas de Juanacatlan sit 4th (27 points from 18 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 27 |
| 6 | Deportivo Ayense | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Ayense vs Gorilas de Juanacatlan?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Ayense the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Gorilas de Juanacatlan.
- Where and when is Deportivo Ayense vs Gorilas de Juanacatlan played?
- Deportivo Ayense vs Gorilas de Juanacatlan is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Chino Rivas, in the Liga Premier Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.