Deportivo Merlo vs Excursionistas: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera CRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 2, 2017 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Manuel Moreno, Parque San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires
Full time
What was the result of Deportivo Merlo vs Excursionistas?
Deportivo Merlo and Excursionistas drew 1-1 on September 2, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Merlo have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Excursionistas have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2017 | Defensores Unidos(away) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Jul 9, 2017 | Defensores Unidos(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 5, 2017 | Canuelas(away) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Jun 30, 2017 | Dock Sud(home) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Jun 25, 2017 | Berazategui(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2017 | Defensores De Belgrano(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 24, 2017 | Almirante Brown(away) | 2-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 17, 2017 | San Telmo(home) | 2-3 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 10, 2017 | Platense(away) | 0-3 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 3, 2017 | Fénix(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Merlo score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Excursionistas score 0.7 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Merlo | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Excursionistas | 0.7 | 2.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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