Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera AApertura - 11Kick-off on April 2, 2016 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Departamental Libertad, San Juan de Pasto
Full time
What was the result of Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin?
Deportivo Pasto won 1-0 on April 2, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 75′B. AnguloDeportivo Pasto (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Pasto have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Independiente Medellin have 4, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2016 | Once Caldas(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Mar 13, 2016 | Huila(away) | 0-4 | Primera A |
| Mar 5, 2016 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Feb 29, 2016 | Cortulua(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Feb 25, 2016 | Envigado(home) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2016 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Mar 12, 2016 | Santa Fe(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Mar 6, 2016 | Patriotas(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Feb 28, 2016 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Feb 24, 2016 | Huila(away) | 3-0 | Primera A |
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Pasto score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 10; Independiente Medellin score 1.4 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pasto | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/10 | 4/10 |
| Independiente Medellin | 1.4 | 0.8 | 4 | 5/10 | 4/10 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Pasto sit 3rd in Primera A (34 points from 19 matches) and Independiente Medellin sit 11th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 34 |
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 34 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy