Derby County U21 vs Brighton U21: prediction and stats
Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on April 12, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)The Proctor Cars Stadium, Matlock, Derbyshire
The Footlab model makes Brighton U21 the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Derby County U21 vs Brighton U21?
Brighton U21 starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,884 vs 1,660).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby County U21 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Brighton U21 have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Reading U21(away) | 3-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 2-6 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hull City U21(home) | 1-4 | Premier League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Carlisle(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Brentford U21(away) | 0-2 | Professional Development League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(away) | 1-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 3-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Millwall U21(home) | 2-0 | Premier League Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Manchester United U21(home) | 1-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Derby County U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Brighton U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2025 | Brighton U21 3-1 Derby County U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Brighton U21 2-1 Derby County U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Derby County U21 2-3 Brighton U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Dec 19, 2022 | Brighton U21 1-2 Derby County U21 | Premier League Cup |
| Nov 18, 2022 | Derby County U21 1-1 Brighton U21 | Premier League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Brighton U21 vs Derby County U21 on Sep 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Derby County U21 score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton U21 score 2.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County U21 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Brighton U21 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby County U21 sit 4th in Premier League 2 Division One (3 points from 1 matches) and Brighton U21 sit 25th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Derby County U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 25 | Brighton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Derby County U21 vs Brighton U21?
- The Footlab model makes Brighton U21 the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Derby County U21.
- Where and when is Derby County U21 vs Brighton U21 played?
- Derby County U21 vs Brighton U21 is played on April 12, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at The Proctor Cars Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 21, 2026Aston Villa U212-1Brighton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Fulham U214-3Burnley U21
- Aug 21, 2026Everton U211-1Liverpool U21
- Aug 21, 2026West Ham United U210-0Southampton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Stoke City U212-3Brentford U21
- Aug 21, 2026AFC Bournemouth U212-1Chelsea U21
- Aug 21, 2026Leicester City U21vsBlackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 22, 2026Arsenal U211-1Crystal Palace U21