Match

Derby County U21 vs Brighton U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on April 12, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)The Proctor Cars Stadium, Matlock, Derbyshire

Derby County U21Brighton U21

The Footlab AI model makes Brighton U21 the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,644 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Derby County U21 vs Brighton U21?

Brighton U21 starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,621).

30%21%49%
Derby County U21 winDrawBrighton U21 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Derby County U21 vs Brighton U21

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Derby County U21

4-3-3
  1. 11C. Wilson
  2. 9Z. Marsh
  3. 9J. Oguntolu
  1. 7C. Smith
  2. 3F. Jones
  3. 10M. Mintus
  1. 5A. Osayande
  2. 2I. Gordon
  3. 5Raymond Offor
  4. 3K. Robinson
  1. 1N. Bilokapić

Brighton U21

4-2-3-1
  1. 46G. Munday
  1. 50S. Nti
  2. 57T. Silsby
  3. 45K. Shaw
  4. 11N. Oriola
  5. 10H. Kasvosve
  1. 51C. Mackley
  2. 69Tate Ferdinand
  3. 48B. Barclay
  4. 71Isaiah Alakiu
  1. 61S. Hall

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 08:39 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby County U21 have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Brighton U21 have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Derby County U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 9, 2026Middlesbrough U21(away)1-1Premier League 2 Division One
Nov 3, 2026Wealdstone(away)2-2National League Cup
Nov 2, 2026Hull City U21(away)0-1Premier League Cup
Oct 26, 2026Norwich City U21(home)3-4Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 19, 2026Birmingham City U21(away)4-0Premier League 2 Division One
Brighton U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 10, 2026Millwall U21(away)3-1Premier League Cup
Nov 3, 2026Cambridge United(away)0-6EFL Trophy
Oct 23, 2026Fulham U21(away)4-2Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 18, 2026AFC Bournemouth U21(home)3-3Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 13, 2026Gillingham(away)3-4EFL Trophy

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Derby County U21 win, 1 draw, 3 Brighton U21 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2025Brighton U21 3-1 Derby County U21Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 25, 2024Brighton U21 2-1 Derby County U21Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 29, 2023Derby County U21 2-3 Brighton U21Premier League 2 Division One
Dec 19, 2022Brighton U21 1-2 Derby County U21Premier League Cup
Nov 18, 2022Derby County U21 1-1 Brighton U21Premier League Cup

Last archived meeting: Brighton U21 vs Derby County U21 on Sep 19, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Derby County U21 score 1.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton U21 score 2.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Derby County U211.92.7112/1513/15
Brighton U212.12.0311/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Derby County U21 sit 18th in Premier League 2 Division One (8 points from 7 matches) and Brighton U21 sit 19th (8 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
18Derby County U21722317178
19Brighton U21622214148

A question about Derby County U21 vs Brighton U21?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Derby County U21 vs Brighton U21?
The Footlab AI model makes Brighton U21 the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is Derby County U21 vs Brighton U21 played?
Derby County U21 vs Brighton U21 is played on April 12, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at The Proctor Cars Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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