Match

Derby County U21 vs Brighton U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on April 12, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)The Proctor Cars Stadium, Matlock, Derbyshire

Derby County U21Brighton U21

The Footlab model makes Brighton U21 the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Derby County U21 vs Brighton U21?

Brighton U21 starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,884 vs 1,660).

Derby County U21 win27 %
Draw23 %
Brighton U21 win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby County U21 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Brighton U21 have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Derby County U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Reading U21(away)3-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026FC Halifax Town(away)2-6National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Hull City U21(home)1-4Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026Carlisle(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Apr 27, 2026Brentford U21(away)0-2Professional Development League
Brighton U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Aston Villa U21(away)1-2Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Northampton(away)3-0EFL Trophy
Aug 14, 2026Millwall U21(home)2-0Premier League Cup
Jul 28, 2026Worthing(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Manchester United U21(home)1-0Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Derby County U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Brighton U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2025Brighton U21 3-1 Derby County U21Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 25, 2024Brighton U21 2-1 Derby County U21Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 29, 2023Derby County U21 2-3 Brighton U21Premier League 2 Division One
Dec 19, 2022Brighton U21 1-2 Derby County U21Premier League Cup
Nov 18, 2022Derby County U21 1-1 Brighton U21Premier League Cup

Last archived meeting: Brighton U21 vs Derby County U21 on Sep 19, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Derby County U21 score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton U21 score 2.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Derby County U211.32.339/159/15
Brighton U212.21.078/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Derby County U21 sit 4th in Premier League 2 Division One (3 points from 1 matches) and Brighton U21 sit 25th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Derby County U211100313
25Brighton U211001120

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Derby County U21 vs Brighton U21?
The Footlab model makes Brighton U21 the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is Derby County U21 vs Brighton U21 played?
Derby County U21 vs Brighton U21 is played on April 12, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at The Proctor Cars Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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