Match

Derby County U21 vs Norwich City U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on October 26, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)The Proctor Cars Stadium, Matlock, Derbyshire

Derby County U21Norwich City U21

The Footlab model makes Norwich City U21 the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Derby County U21 vs Norwich City U21?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Derby County U21 (1,668) and Norwich City U21 (1,724).

Derby County U21 win34 %
Draw23 %
Norwich City U21 win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby County U21 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Norwich City U21 have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Derby County U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Reading U21(away)3-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026FC Halifax Town(away)2-6National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Hull City U21(home)1-4Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026Carlisle(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Apr 27, 2026Brentford U21(away)0-2Professional Development League
Norwich City U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Middlesbrough U21(away)1-0Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026AFC Hornchurch(away)2-1National League Cup
Jul 31, 2026Boreham Wood(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026AFC Hornchurch(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 15, 2026Huddersfield Town U21(home)2-4Professional Development League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Derby County U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Norwich City U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2025Derby County U21 0-3 Norwich City U21Premier League 2 Division One
Feb 13, 2023Derby County U21 0-3 Norwich City U21Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 30, 2022Norwich City U21 2-1 Derby County U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Derby County U21 vs Norwich City U21 on Oct 31, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Derby County U21 score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Norwich City U21 score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Derby County U211.32.339/159/15
Norwich City U211.71.7212/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Derby County U21 sit 4th in Premier League 2 Division One (3 points from 1 matches) and Norwich City U21 sit 11th (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Derby County U211100313
11Norwich City U211100103

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Derby County U21 vs Norwich City U21?
The Footlab model makes Norwich City U21 the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is Derby County U21 vs Norwich City U21 played?
Derby County U21 vs Norwich City U21 is played on October 26, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at The Proctor Cars Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Derby County U21 and Norwich City U21

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