Derby vs QPR: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 25, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs QPR?
Derby won 1-0 on October 25, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 10′C. MorrisDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; QPR have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | Norwich(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Oxford United(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Southampton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Charlton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Wrexham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | Swansea(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Millwall(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Bristol City(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Oxford United(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Derby win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 QPR win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2025 | QPR 4-0 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Derby 2-0 QPR | Championship |
| Apr 18, 2022 | QPR 1-0 Derby | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2021 | Derby 1-2 QPR | Championship |
| Jan 23, 2021 | QPR 0-1 Derby | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2020 | Derby 0-1 QPR | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; QPR score 1.4 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| QPR | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and QPR sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | QPR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy