Dereham Town vs Chasetown: result 2-1 and analysis
FA Cup2nd Round QualifyingKick-off on September 22, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Aldiss Park, Dereham, Norfolk
Full time
What was the result of Dereham Town vs Chasetown?
Dereham Town won 2-1 on September 22, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Dereham Town have 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Chasetown have 4, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2012 | Bugbrooke St Michaels(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 28, 2012 | Woodford United(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Stewarts & Lloyds FC(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2012 | Market Drayton Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Market Drayton Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Rocester(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Marine(away) | 2-5 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Grantham Town(home) | 5-0 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Dereham Town score 3.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 3; Chasetown score 2.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dereham Town | 3.3 | 0.7 | 1 | 2/3 | 3/3 |
| Chasetown | 2.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 6/7 | 6/7 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
A question about Dereham Town vs Chasetown?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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