Desna vs Arsenal Kyiv: result 1-0 and analysis
Cup1st RoundKick-off on September 21, 2016 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Olimpiysʹkyy Navchalʹno-Sportyvnyy Tsentr Chernihiv, Chernihiv
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What was the result of Desna vs Arsenal Kyiv?
Desna won 1-0 on September 21, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 83′D. FavorovDesna
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Desna have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Arsenal Kyiv have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2016 | Sumy(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 13, 2016 | Kramatorsk(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 9, 2016 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 0-4 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Ternopil'(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 26, 2016 | Veres Rivne(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2016 | Veres Rivne(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 13, 2016 | Bukovyna(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 8, 2016 | Kobra(home) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 3, 2016 | Cherkaskyi Dnipro(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 26, 2016 | Naftovyk-Ukrnafta(home) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Desna score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Kyiv score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desna | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Arsenal Kyiv | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy