Dhaka Wanderers vs Mohammedan Dhaka: prediction and stats
Federation CupGroup StageKick-off on January 12, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Shahid Barkat Stadium, Gazipur
The Footlab AI model makes Mohammedan Dhaka the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Dhaka Wanderers. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dhaka Wanderers vs Mohammedan Dhaka?
Mohammedan Dhaka is a heavy favourite: 1,531 Elo points against 1,149, a 382-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dhaka Wanderers vs Mohammedan Dhaka
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dhaka Wanderers
4-3-3- 45U. Diarra
- 3S. Ahmad
- 12S. Ritchil
- 19A. Ali
- 66J. Hossain
- 70Gustavo Henrique Balduino Ribeiro
- 2Monir Hossain
- 4M. Emon
- 5M. Imran Khan
- 80Khusan Ganijanov
- 1M. Ranu
Mohammedan Dhaka
4-3-3- 10S. Diabate
- 77A. Hossain
- 99S. Emon
- 17M. Muzaffarov
- 6M. Miah Zoni
- 21S. Hossain
- 3M. J. Hasan Shanta
- 55E. T. Agbaji
- 98R. Mia
- 22S. Uddin
- 23A. Rahman
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dhaka Wanderers have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Mohammedan Dhaka have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mohammedan Dhaka(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Arambagh(away) | 2-2 | Federation Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Bashundhara Kings(away) | 0-7 | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bashundhara Kings(home) | 0-5 | Federation Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Abahani(home) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dhaka Wanderers(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | PWD Sports Club(home) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | PWD Sports Club(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arambagh(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Arambagh(home) | 3-1 | Federation Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Dhaka Wanderers wins, 0 draws, 3 Mohammedan Dhaka wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mohammedan Dhaka 4-0 Dhaka Wanderers | Premier League |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Mohammedan Dhaka 3-0 Dhaka Wanderers | Premier League |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Dhaka Wanderers 0-6 Mohammedan Dhaka | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Mohammedan Dhaka vs Dhaka Wanderers on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dhaka Wanderers score 0.9 and concede 3.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mohammedan Dhaka score 2.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dhaka Wanderers | 0.9 | 3.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Mohammedan Dhaka | 2.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Dhaka Wanderers vs Mohammedan Dhaka?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dhaka Wanderers vs Mohammedan Dhaka?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mohammedan Dhaka the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Dhaka Wanderers.
- Where and when is Dhaka Wanderers vs Mohammedan Dhaka played?
- Dhaka Wanderers vs Mohammedan Dhaka is played on January 12, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Shahid Barkat Stadium, in the Federation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 22, 2026Fortis1-1Fakirerpool
- Sep 23, 2026Brothers Union0-0Rahmatgonj MFS
- Sep 25, 2026Abahani1-1Chattogram
- Oct 6, 2026Mohammedan Dhaka3-1Arambagh
- Oct 6, 2026Bangladesh Police1-1City Club
- Oct 6, 2026Dhaka Wanderers0-5Bashundhara Kings
- Oct 13, 2026Rahmatgonj MFS1-3Chattogram
- Oct 13, 2026Brothers Union4-1Fakirerpool