Diables Noirs vs Étoile du Congo: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Matchday 11Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Alphonse Massamba-Débat, Brazzaville
The Footlab AI model makes Diables Noirs the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Étoile du Congo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Diables Noirs wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,570 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diables Noirs vs Étoile du Congo?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Diables Noirs (1,511) and Étoile du Congo (1,577).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Diables Noirs vs Étoile du Congo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Diables Noirs
4-3-3- 29Y. Ngatse
- 37M. Nkounkou
- 30J. Bayindula
- 9Blarin Audavy Kibama Maloula
- 8Hardy Alain Samarange Binguila
- 15Teji Lutonadio Muingela
- 12F. Niamathé
- 33A. Kasereka
- 38Tony Lionge
- 23Janard Berlohd Mbemba Kambamba
- 22W. Ngobo
Étoile du Congo
4-3-3- 11Judea Mouandzibi
- 8Gautrand Charden Meil Ngouonimba
- 9Ferdinand Rochel Kivouri
- 21Sagesse Babélé
- 10M. Nkounkou
- 7Joseph Mbangou
- 5Cervelie Ikouma Epoyo
- 17Dorvel Dibekou
- 4Julfin Ondongo
- 20Dalvidi Joel Mack Ondzani
- 16Daniel Chansel Massa Mohikola
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 04:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diables Noirs have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Étoile du Congo have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Otôho d'Oyo(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Étoile du Congo(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Otôho d'Oyo(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Patronage Sainte-Anne(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CARA Brazzaville(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Dauphins Noirs(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Céleste(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | JSK(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Diables Noirs(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CARA Brazzaville(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Diables Noirs win, 2 draws, 3 Étoile du Congo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Étoile du Congo 3-0 Diables Noirs | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Diables Noirs 0-1 Étoile du Congo | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Étoile du Congo 1-1 Diables Noirs | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Diables Noirs 1-1 Étoile du Congo | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 28, 2022 | Étoile du Congo 2-1 Diables Noirs | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Diables Noirs 2-0 Étoile du Congo | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Étoile du Congo vs Diables Noirs on Mar 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Diables Noirs score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Étoile du Congo score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diables Noirs | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 2/15 | 6/15 |
| Étoile du Congo | 1.5 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Diables Noirs | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
A question about Diables Noirs vs Étoile du Congo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diables Noirs vs Étoile du Congo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Diables Noirs the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Étoile du Congo.
- Where and when is Diables Noirs vs Étoile du Congo played?
- Diables Noirs vs Étoile du Congo is played on February 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Alphonse Massamba-Débat, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.