Dieppe vs Bastia-Borgo: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 23Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jean Dasnias, Saint-Aubin-sur-Scie
The Footlab model makes Dieppe the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Bastia-Borgo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dieppe vs Bastia-Borgo?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Dieppe (1,712) and Bastia-Borgo (1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dieppe have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Bastia-Borgo have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Epinal(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Caen(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Blois(home) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | Haguenau(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 2, 2026 | Wasquehal(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 2, 2026 | Colmar(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Feignies-Aulnoye(home) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Dieppe win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bastia-Borgo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Dieppe 2-1 Bastia-Borgo | National 2 - Group B |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Bastia-Borgo 1-1 Dieppe | National 2 - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Dieppe vs Bastia-Borgo on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dieppe score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bastia-Borgo score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dieppe | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Bastia-Borgo | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dieppe sit 4th in National 2 - Group A (1 points from 1 matches) and Bastia-Borgo sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dieppe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Bastia-Borgo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dieppe vs Bastia-Borgo?
- The Footlab model makes Dieppe the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Bastia-Borgo.
- Where and when is Dieppe vs Bastia-Borgo played?
- Dieppe vs Bastia-Borgo is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jean Dasnias, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.