Dinamo Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korce: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Elbasan Arena, Elbasan
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Tirana the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Skenderbeu Korce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korce?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Dinamo Tirana (1,823) and Skenderbeu Korce (1,788).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Tirana have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Skenderbeu Korce have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vora(home) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Auda(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Auda(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| May 4, 2026 | Laci(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Pogradeci(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë(home) | 4-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Burreli(away) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dinamo Tirana win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Skenderbeu Korce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Skenderbeu Korce 4-1 Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Skenderbeu Korce 0-4 Dinamo Tirana | Cup |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Dinamo Tirana 0-2 Skenderbeu Korce | Cup |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Dinamo Tirana 1-1 Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Skenderbeu Korce 2-2 Dinamo Tirana | Superliga |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Dinamo Tirana 2-1 Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: Skenderbeu Korce vs Dinamo Tirana on Mar 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Tirana score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Skenderbeu Korce score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tirana | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Skenderbeu Korce | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Tirana sit 9th in Superliga (0 points from 1 matches) and Skenderbeu Korce sit 4th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Skenderbeu Korce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tirana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korce?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Tirana the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Skenderbeu Korce.
- Where and when is Dinamo Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korce played?
- Dinamo Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korce is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Elbasan Arena, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.